Market signals

German property market data

Publicly reported figures on the German residential market — each one with its source, period and date, so you can check it yourself.

Last updated: 7 entries

FinancingPeriod: July 2026, new business, fixed for more than 10 years (provisional)

3.92 %

Mortgage rates are moving sideways

The effective interest rate on new housing loans to private households with an initial fixed-rate period of more than ten years stood at 3.92 % in July 2026 (provisional). It was 3.74 % in March 2026 and 3.98 % in June.

What this means for a buyer

Roughly 4 % financing cost against 3 to 4.5 % gross yield: in Germany today a leveraged purchase is not carried by the interest rate but by amortisation, rent and time. A buyer with a high equity share — which describes most international buyers — is in a materially better position in that calculation.

PricesPeriod: Q2 2026 vs. the same quarter of 2025

+1.9 %

vdp index: residential up, offices down

The property price index of the Association of German Pfandbrief Banks rose 1.3 % year on year in Q2 2026. Residential property gained 1.9 % (+0.3 % quarter on quarter); offices lost 1.2 %. Across the top-7 cities residential prices rose 2.1 % and new-letting rents 1.5 %. Nationally, new-letting rents for multi-family buildings rose 3.2 %.

By city

Hamburg
+3.8 %
Köln
+2.5 %
Frankfurt am Main
+2.4 %
Düsseldorf
+2.4 %
München
+2.3 %
Berlin
+1.6 %
Stuttgart
+0.7 %

What this means for a buyer

Rents are rising faster than purchase prices nationally (3.2 % against 1.9 %). That is where the return currently comes from: cash flow carries the case, not resale. This is the opposite of what many buyers from Asia are used to in their home market.

Source:vdp – Verband deutscher PfandbriefbankenUneinheitliche Entwicklung der Immobilienpreise, 10. August 2026 ↗Published: 10 August 2026
PricesPeriod: Q1 2026 vs. the same quarter of 2025

+1.4 %

Residential prices are rising again — but not in the top-7 cities

The Federal Statistical Office's house price index was 1.4 % above the same quarter of 2025 in Q1 2026, and 0.3 % above the previous quarter. For condominiums the picture differs sharply by region.

Breakdown

Sparsely populated rural districts
+3.6 %
Independent cities outside the top-7
+2.9 %
The seven largest cities
+0.3 %
Densely populated rural districts
−0.4 %

What this means for a buyer

Anyone who bought in a top-7 location in 2021 is still waiting for the recovery. The price momentum currently sits in the second-tier cities. For an overseas buyer that means the famous names are not automatically the better numbers — the individual location decides.

Source:Statistisches Bundesamt (Destatis)Pressemitteilung Nr. 219 vom 25. Juni 2026 ↗Published: 25 June 2026
SupplyPeriod: January to April 2026 vs. the same period of 2025

+13.2 %

Building permits are picking up — but the flats arrive later

83,700 dwellings were approved between January and April 2026, 13.2 % — or 9,800 units — more than in the same period of 2025. April alone accounted for 20,200 permits (+9.2 %). Over the four months, multi-family buildings rose 14.7 % and two-family houses 22.9 %.

What this means for a buyer

In Germany there are typically several years between a permit and handover of the keys. So this recovery in permits will not relieve the market before the end of the decade — and it also explains why more new-build schemes are coming to market right now.

Source:Statistisches Bundesamt (Destatis)Pressemitteilung Nr. 207 vom 18. Juni 2026 ↗Published: 18 June 2026
SupplyPeriod: dwellings completed in 2025

206,600

Housing completions at their lowest level since 2012

206,600 dwellings were completed in Germany in 2025 — 18.0 %, or 45,400 units, fewer than in 2024, and the lowest figure since 2012. The recent peak was 306,400 dwellings in 2020.

What this means for a buyer

A flat not built in 2025 is missing from the rental market in 2028. This is the most solid part of the German investment case: demand is known, and supply is either built or it is not — and for the next few years it has not been built.

Source:Statistisches Bundesamt (Destatis)Pressemitteilung Nr. 174 vom 22. Mai 2026 ↗Published: 22 May 2026
ResidencePeriod: EU Blue Card salary threshold, 2026

50,700 €

EU Blue Card: the 2026 salary thresholds

The EU Blue Card in 2026 requires a minimum gross salary of 50,700 euros a year. For shortage occupations and recent graduates the threshold is 45,934.20 euros gross, and in those cases the Federal Employment Agency must give its approval.

What this means for a buyer

This figure is here because it is regularly confused with buying property. Germany has no golden visa: buying a flat creates no right of residence. Residence comes through work, self-employment or study — a purchase can accompany that route but never replace it.

Source:Bundesagentur für Arbeit (ZAV)Blaue Karte EU, Newsletter 3/2026 ↗Published: 1 March 2026
RegulationPeriod: extended to 31 December 2029

bis 2029

Rent cap extended to the end of 2029

On 26 June 2025 the Bundestag extended the Mietpreisbremse to the end of 2029; it would otherwise have expired on 31 December 2025. In the tight housing markets designated by the federal states, the rent on a new letting may not exceed the local reference rent by more than 10 %.

What this means for a buyer

For a buyer the exception matters more than the rule: under § 556f BGB the rent cap does not apply to dwellings first used and let after 1 October 2014. New-build is therefore outside the cap — one reason we mostly advise international buyers in the new-build segment. This is our reading, not legal advice.

Source:Deutscher BundestagMietpreisbremse bis 2029 verlängert, 26. Juni 2025 ↗Published: 26 June 2025

How this page is put together

Only primary sources are included: statistical offices, the Deutsche Bundesbank, federal ministries and parliament, and associations publishing their own index. Every figure is taken from the linked publication, not from reporting about it. The period and the publication date are shown against each figure.

The figures quoted come from the institutions named against them; we are not affiliated with those institutions and did not collect the data ourselves. The “What this means for a buyer” section is our own reading, not investment, tax or legal advice. Market data describes the past and is not a promise about the future.

Let's talk about your plans

Non-binding, confidential and in your language.

Im Mainfeld 23, 60528 Frankfurt am Main, Deutschland
Mon–Fri 9am–6pm · Sat by appointment